Satoshi Risk Tables

Cyril Grunspan (1) , Ricardo Pérez-Marco (2, 3)

1 ESILV - École Supérieure d'Ingénierie Léonard de Vinci
2 CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
3 IMJ-PRG (UMR_7586) - Institut de Mathématiques de Jussieu - Paris Rive Gauche

We present Bitcoin Security Tables computing the probability of success p(z, q, t) of a double spend attack by an attacker controlling a share q of the hashrate after z confirmations in time t.

Mots clés: double spend; blockchain; Bitcoin; mining; proof-of-work; Regularized Incomplete Beta Function

Domaines: Cryptographie et sécurité [cs.CR]; Probabilités [math.PR]; Gestion des risques [q-fin.RM]; Finance quantitative [q-fin.CP]

Cyril Grunspan, Ricardo Pérez-Marco. Satoshi Risk Tables. 2017. ⟨hal-01465634⟩