Exploration of model performances in the presence of heterogeneous preferences and random effects utilities awareness

Nikita Gusarov (1) , Amirreza Talebijamalabad (2) , Iragaël Joly (1)

1 GAEL - Laboratoire d'Economie Appliquée de Grenoble
2 Grenoble INP - Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology

This work is a cross-disciplinary study of econometrics and machine learning (ML) models applied to consumer choice preference modelling. To bridge the interdisciplinary gap, a simulation and theorytesting framework is proposed. It incorporates all essential steps from hypothetical setting generation to the comparison of various performance metrics. The flexibility of the framework in theory-testing and models comparison over economics and statistical indicators is illustrated based on the work of Michaud, Llerena and Joly (2012). Two datasets are generated using the predefined utility functions simulating the presence of homogeneous and heterogeneous individual preferences for alternatives’ attributes. Then, three models issued from econometrics and ML disciplines are estimated and compared. The study demonstrates the proposed methodological approach’s efficiency, successfully capturing the differences between the models issued from different fields given the homogeneous or heterogeneous consumer preferences.

Mots clés: Discrete choice models; Neural network analysis; Performance comparison; Heterogeneous preferences

Domaines: Économie et finance quantitative [q-fin]; Economies et finances

Nikita Gusarov, Amirreza Talebijamalabad, Iragaël Joly. Exploration of model performances in the presence of heterogeneous preferences and random effects utilities awareness. 2020. ⟨hal-03019739⟩