Modeling both sides of the French labor market with adaptive agents under bounded rationality *

Gérard Ballot (1) , Jean-Daniel Kant (2) , Olivier Goudet (2)

1 CRED - Centre de Recherche en Economie et Droit
2 SMA - Systèmes Multi-Agents

here aims to simulate the labor market just before the financial crisis, i.e. in 2007, assuming that the exogenous conditions would stay fixed, and the model reach an approximately permanent state that we study. The first objective of the model is to reproduce the gross flows between the important states, employment (distinguishing fixed term contracts and open ended contracts), unemployment and inactivity, and the ratios of individuals in these states. The novelty of the model is that it simulates the flows on the basis of the rational decisions of individual heterogenous agents. Once the model is calibrated, the second objective is to characterize the nature of the labor market under study. This is done, first by examining the patterns of flows and stocks at the aggregate level and at the levels of different categories of labor, second by sensitivity experiments, modifying some exogenous parameters and variables such as the demand for the good. A third outcome will be the follow up of cohorts of workers over the life cycle and their analysis, but is left for future study. Finally the model once calibrated is a tool for experimenting labor market policies, including changes in the labor law.

Domaines: Système multi-agents [cs.MA]

Gérard Ballot, Jean-Daniel Kant, Olivier Goudet. Modeling both sides of the French labor market with adaptive agents under bounded rationality *. The 25th Annual Conference of the EAEPE (European Association for Evolutionary Political Economy), EAEPE (European Association for Evolutionary Political Economy), Nov 2013, Bobigny, France. ⟨hal-01512993⟩