Employing Grey Model forecasting GM(1,1) to historical medical sensor data towards system preventive in smart home e-health for elderly person

Rim Jouini (1) , Tayeb Lemlouma (2) , Karima Maalaoui (1) , Leila Azzouz Saidane (1)

1 RAMSIS - Réseau, Application, Mtrologie, système, Intelligence, Scurit [Manouba]
2 IRISA-D2 - RÉSEAUX, TÉLÉCOMMUNICATION ET SERVICES

Introducing new methods to enhance health services for elderly persons has become the main objective of Smart Home researchers. One of the most important issues that they have dealt with is the application of forecasting models used to predict states of elderly persons. In fact, our approach focuses on some critical health parameters (blood pressure, pulse, etc ) over 40 days. In this paper, we have applied the forecasting Grey Model GM(1,1) on data collected in the smart home MavHome Project. We have also compared the system performances obtained to predict sensor datawhile using the Grey model with those provided while applying the Box-Jenkins ARIMA as a conventional forecasting model. The simulation results show that the Grey Model is more efficient than the Box-Jenkins ARIMA as it has resulted in more accurate forecasting values.

Mots clés: Smart-Home; e-Health; forecasting Grey Model GM(1; 1); Box-Jenkins ARIMA model; forecasting

Domaines: Réseaux et télécommunications [cs.NI]; Intelligence artificielle [cs.AI]; Technologies Émergeantes [cs.ET]; Environnements Informatiques pour l'Apprentissage Humain; Apprentissage [cs.LG]

Rim Jouini, Tayeb Lemlouma, Karima Maalaoui, Leila Azzouz Saidane. Employing Grey Model forecasting GM(1,1) to historical medical sensor data towards system preventive in smart home e-health for elderly person. The 12th International Wireless Communications & Mobile Computing Conference, Sep 2016, Paphos, Cyprus. ⟨hal-01313304⟩