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Global sensitivity analysis of a model for economic assesment of flood risk

Abstract : Variance-based Sobol' global sensitivity analysis (GSA) was initially designed for the study of models with scalar inputs and outputs, while many models in the environmental eld are spatially explicit. As a result, GSA is not a common practise in environmental modelling. In this paper we describe a detailed case study where GSA is performed on a spatially dependent model for flood risk economic assessment on the Orb valley (southeast France). The realisations of random input maps can be generated by any method including geostatistical simulation techniques, allowing for spatial structure and auto-correlation to be taken into account. The estimation of sensitivity indices on ACB-DE spatial outputs makes it possible to produce maps of sensitivity indices. These maps describe the spatial variability of Sobol' indices. Sensitivity maps of di fferent resolutions are then compared to discuss the relative influence of uncertain input factors at diff erent scales.
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Contributor : Nathalie Saint-Geours <>
Submitted on : Thursday, December 6, 2012 - 12:07:45 PM
Last modification on : Monday, November 30, 2020 - 9:52:12 AM
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  • HAL Id : hal-00762006, version 1
  • IRSTEA : PUB00033884


Nathalie Saint-Geours, Christian Lavergne, Jean-Stéphane Bailly, Frédéric Grelot. Global sensitivity analysis of a model for economic assesment of flood risk. 43ème Journées de Statistique de la SFdS, May 2011, Gammarth, Tunisia. pp.6. ⟨hal-00762006⟩



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