A quick Look at the Registered Cases of Covid-19 Throughout the World

Raul Isea (1) , Karl E Lonngren (2)

1 IDEA - Fundación Instituto de Estudios Avanzados
2 University of Iowa [Iowa City]

The present work analyzes the registered cases of Covid-19 throughout the world according the data registered at Johns Hopkins University. We selected 15 countries to analyze their data. In alphabetical order the countries are: Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Chile, China, Colombia, Germany, India, Italy, Mexico, Peru, Portugal, Spain, United States and Venezuela. With this information, three different studies were carried out. First, the data was validated using Benford's Law which is based on forensic techniques that allow us to guarantee the integrity of the information. Later, we calculated the value of the basic reproduction number (R0), ie., the number of secondary host infections caused by one primary host infection that helps us to determine if a country has an outbreak of Covid-19. Finally, we show that the best representation for the change in the number of cases in the time is to calculate the mantissa value, ie., the floating number obtained from the logarithm of the data.

Mots clés: Covid-19; R0; Reproduction number; Benfords Law; Mantissa; Countries

Domaines: Santé publique et épidémiologie; Maladies infectieuses; Maladies émergentes; Applications [stat.AP]

Raul Isea, Karl E Lonngren. A quick Look at the Registered Cases of Covid-19 Throughout the World. International Journal of Coronaviruses, 2020, 1 (3), pp.15 - 20. ⟨10.14302/issn.2692-1537.ijcv-20-3453⟩. ⟨hal-03519480⟩