Determination of prime implicants by differential evolution for the dynamic reliability analysis of non-coherent nuclear systems

Francesco Di Maio (1) , Samuele Baronchelli (1) , Matteo Vagnoli (1) , Enrico Zio (2)

1 Dipartimento di Energia [Milano]
2 LGI - Laboratoire Génie Industriel - EA 2606

We present an original computational method for the identification of prime implicants (PIs) in non-coherent structure functions of dynamic systems. This is a relevant problem for dynamic reliability analysis , when dynamic effects render inadequate the traditional methods of minimal cut-set identification. PIs identification is here transformed into an optimization problem, where we look for the minimum combination of implicants that guarantees the best coverage of all the minterms. For testing the method, an artificial case study has been implemented, regarding a system composed by five components that fail at random times with random magnitudes. The system undergoes a failure if during an accidental scenario a safety-relevant monitored signal raises above an upper threshold or decreases below a lower threshold. Truth tables of the two system end-states are used to identify all the minterms. Then, the PIs that best cover all minterms are found by Modified Binary Differential Evolution. Results and performances of the proposed method have been compared with those of a traditional analytical approach known as Quine-McCluskey algorithm and other evolutionary algorithms, such as Genetic Algorithm and Binary Differential Evolution. The capability of the method is confirmed with respect to a dynamic Steam Generator of a Nuclear Power Plant.

Mots clés: Binary Differential Evolution (BDE); Genetic Algorithm (GA); (MBDE); Steam Generator (SG); Nuclear Power Plant (NPP); Dynamic reliability; Prime implicants; Non-coherent structure functions; Modified Binary Differential Evolution

Domaines: Applications [stat.AP]

Francesco Di Maio, Samuele Baronchelli, Matteo Vagnoli, Enrico Zio. Determination of prime implicants by differential evolution for the dynamic reliability analysis of non-coherent nuclear systems. Annals of Nuclear Energy, 2017, 102, pp.91-105. ⟨10.1016/j.anucene.2016.12.018⟩. ⟨hal-01652249⟩