Modeling dependent competing failure processes with degradation-shock dependence

Mengfei Fan , Zhiguo Zeng (1, 2) , Enrico Zio (2) , Rui Kang

1 LGI - Laboratoire Génie Industriel - EA 2606
2 SSEC - Chaire Sciences des Systèmes et Défis Energétiques EDF/ECP/Supélec

In this paper, we develop a new reliability model for dependent competing failure processes (DCFPs), which accounts for degradation-shock dependence. This is a type of dependence where random shock processes are influenced by degradation processes. The degradation-shock dependence is modeled by assuming that the intensity function of the nonhomogeneous Poisson process describing the random shock processes is dependent on the degradation processes. The dependence effect is modeled with reference to a classification of the random shocks in three “zones” according to their magnitudes, damage zone, fatal zone, and safety zone, with different effects on the system’s failure behavior. To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this type of dependence has not yet been considered in reliability models. Monte Carlo simulation is used to calculate the system reliability. A realistic application is presented with regards to the dependent failure behavior of a sliding spool, which is subject to two dependent competing failure processes, wear and clamping stagnation. It is shown that the developed model is capable of describing the dependent competing failure behaviors and their dependence.

Domaines: Autre

Mengfei Fan, Zhiguo Zeng, Enrico Zio, Rui Kang. Modeling dependent competing failure processes with degradation-shock dependence. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2017, 165, pp.422 - 430. ⟨10.1016/j.ress.2017.05.004⟩. ⟨hal-01633050⟩