Impact analysis of the CAP reform on main agricultural commodities. Report I AGMEMOD – Summary report

Lubica Bartova (1) , Robert M'Barek (2) , Hans van Meijl (3) , Myrna van Leeuwen (3) , Andrzej Tabeau (3) , Petra Salamon (4) , Oliver von Ledebur (4) , Frederic Chantreuil (5) , Fabrice Levert (5) , Trevor Donnellan (6) , Kevin Hanrahan (6) , Danute Jasjko (7) , Guna Salputra (7) , Ludmilla Fadejeva (7) , Emil Erjavec (8) , Stane Kavcic (8) , Darja Regoršek (8) , Martin Kniepert (9) , Bruno Henry De Frahan (10) , Olivier Harmignie (10) , Nedka Ivanova (11) , Mariya Peneva (11) , Ivan Foltyn (12) , Jan Kubát (12) , Jorgen Dejgaard Jensen (13) , Mati Sepp (14) , Jyrki Niemi (15) , Lauri Kettunen (15) , Elias Mantzouneas (16) , Tibor Ferenczi (17) , Roberto Esposti (18) , Antonello Lobianco (18) , Irena Krisciukaitiene (19) , Salomeja Andrekiene (19) , Andrej Jedik (19) , Willi Meyers (19) , Aiste Galnaityte (19) , Sylwia Krawczyńska (20) , Kataryna Kowalska (20) , Camelia Serbanescu (21) , Cristian Kevorchian (21) , Pavel Ciain (1) , Jan Pokrivcak (1) , Azucena Gracia (22) , Zi Ping Wu (23) , Philip Kostov (23)

1 Slovak University of Agriculture
2 JRC - European Commission - Joint Research Centre [Ispra]
3 LEI, Agricultural Economics Research Institute
4 FAL - Federal Research Agency for Agriculture
5 SMART-LERECO - Structures et Marché Agricoles, Ressources et Territoires
6 Irish Agriculture and Food Development Authority
7 LSIAE - Latvian State Institute for Agrarian Economics
8 Biotechnical faculty
9 BOKU - Universität für Bodenkultur Wien = University of Natural Resources and Life [Vienne, Autriche]
10 UCL - Université Catholique de Louvain = Catholic University of Louvain
11 IAE - Institute of Agricultural Economics
12 VUZE - Research Institute of Agricultural Economics
13 IFRO - Institute of Food and Resource Economics [Copenhagen]
14 Institute of Economics and Social Sciences
15 Agrifood Research Finland
16 Department of economics
17 Corvinus University of Budapest
18 UNIVPM - Polytechnic University of Marche [Ancona, Italy] / Università Politecnica delle Marche [Ancona, Italia]
19 LIAE - Lithuanian Institute of Agrarian Economics
20 Warsaw School of Economics
21 IEARO, Institute of Agricultural Economics
22 CITA - Centro de Investigación y Tecnología Agroalimentaria de Aragón
23 QUB - Queen's University [Belfast]

This summary report is based on the outcome of a study carried out by the AGMEMOD Partnership under the management of the Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI, in the Netherlands), in cooperation with the Joint Research Centre – Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (JRC-IPTS) to generate projections for the main agricultural commodity markets for each year from 2005 until 2015. The report gives a general overview of the modelling approach, the description and implementation of the baseline, further CAP reform and exchange rate change scenarios. It outlines the main results for the aggregates EU-10, EU-15, EU-25 and EU-27, focusing in particular on the features implemented in this study, and addresses issues that need further attention. Detailed documentation on the AGMEMOD modelling approach, along with the outcome of the study, is published in five reports in the JRC-IPTS technical paper series under the heading "Impact analysis of Common Agricultural Policy reform on the main agricultural commodities".

Mots clés: EU AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY MARKETS; ENLARGEMENT; ECONOMETRIC MODEL; POLITIQUE AGRICOLE COMMUNE; market

Mots clés: europe; économétrie; agriculture; marché

Domaines: Sciences du Vivant [q-bio]

Lubica Bartova, Robert M'Barek, Hans van Meijl, Myrna van Leeuwen, Andrzej Tabeau, et al.. Impact analysis of the CAP reform on main agricultural commodities. Report I AGMEMOD – Summary report. [Contract] EUR 22940 EN/1, European Commission. 2008, 74 p. ⟨hal-01462422⟩