Prediction of Process Time for Early Production Planning Purposes

Mads Bejlegaard (1) , Thomas Ditlev Brunoe (1) , Kjeld Nielsen (1)

1 AAU - Aalborg University [Denmark]

The production ramp-up process is critical to stay competitive and to capture market share but there are some common problems encountered during ramp-up. Among others one problem is related to the maturity of the production processes, including unforeseen bottlenecks. This paper contributes to the production planning part of the ramp-up process by showing how to predict the process time for new parts that is to be introduced in an existing manufacturing environment. A statistical model based on historical product-data is applied and the potential advantages of the model are outlined.

Mots clés: Regression; Ramp-up; Production planning; Reconfigurable manufacturing systems

Domaines: Informatique [cs]

Mads Bejlegaard, Thomas Ditlev Brunoe, Kjeld Nielsen. Prediction of Process Time for Early Production Planning Purposes. IFIP International Conference on Advances in Production Management Systems (APMS), Sep 2015, Tokyo, Japan. pp.406-413, ⟨10.1007/978-3-319-22756-6_50⟩. ⟨hal-01417520⟩