The traditional hedging model revisited with a non-observable convenience yield
Résumé
This article examines the hedging of constrained commodity positions with futures contracts. We extend the study of Adler and Detemple (1988 a,b) to include a partial information framework where the convenience yield is not observable. As a consequence, futures prices depend on investor's beliefs regarding the value of the convenience yield, and every component of the hedge is impacted by thee beliefs. We achieve a decomposition of the demand that clarifies the impact on the optimal hedge of the beliefs, the spot price and the risk-free rate. This decomposition is crucial to understand our example that examines the case of the copper market.