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Three ways to compute accurately the probability of the referendum paradox

Abstract : In a recent paper published in MSS, Wilson and Pritchard (2007) exhibit some results suggesting that the limiting probability of the referendum paradox given in Feix et al. (2004) could be wrong. After having explained the origin of this disagreement, we propose in this note some further analytical (and complementary) methods to compute the probability of this paradox.
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https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00602133
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Submitted on : Tuesday, June 21, 2011 - 3:44:41 PM
Last modification on : Tuesday, January 11, 2022 - 5:56:28 PM

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Dominique Lepelley, Vincent Merlin, Jean-Louis Rouet. Three ways to compute accurately the probability of the referendum paradox. Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, 2011, 62 (1), pp.28-33. ⟨10.1016/j.mathsocsci.2011.04.006⟩. ⟨halshs-00602133⟩

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