Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cells Prognostic Strategy Based on Navigation Sequence Driven Long Short-term Memory Networks
Résumé
Lifetime and reliability seriously affect the applications of proton exchange membrane fuel cell (PEMFC). Performance degradation prediction of PEMFC is the basis for improving the lifetime and reliability of PEMFC. To overcome the lower prediction accuracy caused by uncertainty and nonlinearity characteristics of degradation voltage data, this article proposes a novel deep belief network (DBN) and extreme learning machine (ELM) based performance degradation prediction method for PEMFC. A DBN based fuel cell degradation features extraction model is designed to extract high-quality degradation features in the original degradation data by layer-wise learning. To tackle the issues of overfitting and instability in fuel cell performance degradation prediction, an ELM with good generalization performance is introduced as a nonlinear prediction model, which can get some enhancement of prediction precision and reliability. Based on the designed DBN-ELM model, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is used in the model training process to optimize the basic network structure of DBN-ELM further to improve the prediction accuracy of the hybrid neural network. Finally, the proposed prediction method is experimentally validated by using actual data collected from the 5-cells PEMFC stack. The results demonstrate that the proposed approach always has better prediction performance compared with the existing conventional methods, whether in the cases of various training phase or the cases of multi-step-ahead prediction.
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