SAPIUM: a generic framework for a practical and transparent quantification of thermal hydraulic code model input uncertainty
Résumé
Uncertainty analysis (UA) is a key element in nuclear power plant (NPP) deterministic safety analysis using best-estimate thermal hydraulic codes and best estimate plus uncertainty (BEPU) methodologies. If forward uncertainty propagation methods have now become mature for industrial applications, the input uncertainties quantification (IUQ) on the physical models still requires further investigations. The OECD/NEA PREMIUM project attempted to benchmark the available IUQ methods, but observed a strong user-effect due to lack of best practices guidance. The SAPIUM project has been proposed towards the construction of a clear and shared systematic approach for input uncertainty quantification. The main outcome of the project is a first “good practices” document that can be exploited for safety study in order to reach consensus among experts on recommended practices as well as to identify remaining open issues for further developments. This paper describes the systematic approach that consists in five elements in a step by step approach to perform a meaningful model input uncertainty quantification and validation as well as some “good practice guidelines” recommendations for each step.
Domaines
Sciences de l'ingénieur [physics]
Origine : Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)
