2EQUIPPE - Economie Quantitative, Intégration, Politiques Publiques et Econométrie (Lille 1 : Université des Sciences et Technologies de Lille Cité Scientifique, Faculté d'Economie et de Sciences Sociales, Bâtiment SH2 - 59655 Villeneuve d'Ascq Cedex Lille 2 : Faculté des Sciences Juridiques, Politiques et Sociales 1, place Déliot - BP 629 - 59024 Lille Cedex Université Charles-de-Gaulle - Lille 3 Domaine universitaire du Pont de Bois Maison de la Recherche rue du Barreau - BP 60149 - 59653 Villeneuve d'Ascq Cedex - France)
Abstract : The recent crisis has given rise to proposals for the creation of a European unemployment insurance system. We simulate an EU-wide mechanism under various scenarios, varying methods of financing (common or country-specific contribution rates) and triggers for pay-outs (all time or contingent clauses). We analyse the impact of the system using different measures of stabilization under different fiscal multipliers. A system operating during bad times (periods where the increase in unemployment is large) would reduce GDP growth variability but also growth correlation among member countries. Hence, there is a trade-off between stabilization and synchronization of national business cycles.
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02506028 Contributor : Isabelle CeletConnect in order to contact the contributor Submitted on : Thursday, March 12, 2020 - 8:55:50 AM Last modification on : Tuesday, April 12, 2022 - 4:12:04 PM