Unsupervised Disaggregation of PhotoVoltaic Production from Aggregated Power Flow Measurements of Heterogeneous Prosumers

Fabrizio Sossan (1) , Lorenzo Nespoli , Vasco Medici , Mario Paolone (2)

1 PERSEE - Centre Procédés, Énergies Renouvelables, Systèmes Énergétiques
2 Distributed Energy Systems Laboratory

We consider the problem of estimating the unob-served amount of photovoltaic (PV) generation and demand in a power distribution network starting from measurements of the aggregated power flow at the point of common coupling (PCC) and local global horizontal irradiance (GHI). The estimation principle relies on modeling the PV generation as a function of the measured GHI, enabling the identification of PV production patterns in the aggregated power flow measurements. Four estimation algorithms are proposed: the first assumes that variability in the aggregated PV generation is given by variations of PV generation, the next two use a model of the demand to improve estimation performance, and the fourth assumes that, in a certain frequency range, the aggregated power flow is dominated by PV generation dynamics. These algorithms leverage irradiance transposition models to explore several azimuth/tilt configurations and explain PV generation patterns from multiple plants with non-uniform installation characteristics. Their estimation performance is compared and validated with measurements from a real-life setup including 4 houses with rooftop PV installations and battery systems for PV self-consumption.

Mots clés: PV generation; Demand; Disaggregation; Opti- mization problems; Algorithms; Unsupervised learning

Domaines: Energie électrique

Fabrizio Sossan, Lorenzo Nespoli, Vasco Medici, Mario Paolone. Unsupervised Disaggregation of PhotoVoltaic Production from Aggregated Power Flow Measurements of Heterogeneous Prosumers. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, 2018, 14 (9), pp.3904-3913. ⟨10.1109/TII.2018.2791932⟩. ⟨hal-02108782⟩