Evaluation of investment projects under uncertainty: multi-criteria approach using interval data

Olga A. Shvetsova (1) , Elena A. Rodionova (2) , Michael Z. Epstein (2)

1 Korea University of Technology and Education
2 SPbPU - Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University

Multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) methods have evolved for various types of applications. In the past, even small variations to existing methods have led to the creation of new avenues for research. Thus, in this study, we review the MCDM methods in investment management and examine the advantages and disadvantages of these methods in a risk environment. In addition, we study the effectiveness of investment projects using these methods. The analysis of MCDM methods performed in this study provides a guide for the use of these methods, especially the ones based on interval data, in investment project analysis. Furthermore, we propose a combination of multi-criterial selection and interval preferences to evaluate investment projects. Our method improves on the method of calculating economic efficiency based on a one-dimensional criterion and sensitivity analysis, though our proposal involves complicated calculations.

Mots clés: investment project; interval data; investment project evaluation; Pareto set; risk management; multicriterial approach

Domaines: Economies et finances; Méthodes et statistiques; Ingénierie, finance et science [cs.CE]; Finance [q-fin.GN]; Econométrie de la finance [q-fin.ST]

Olga A. Shvetsova, Elena A. Rodionova, Michael Z. Epstein. Evaluation of investment projects under uncertainty: multi-criteria approach using interval data. Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, 2018, 5 (4), pp.914 - 928. ⟨10.9770/jesi.2018.5.4(15)⟩. ⟨hal-01858557⟩