Robust changes and sources of uncertainty in the projected hydrological regimes of Swiss catchments, Water Resour. Res, vol.50, pp.7541-7562, 2014. ,
Crop Evapotranspiration -Guidelines for computing crop water requirements, FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper 56, 1998. ,
Uncertainties in runoff projections in southwestern Australian catchments using a global climate model with perturbed physics, J. Hydrol, vol.529, pp.184-199, 2015. ,
A simple statistical-dynamical downscaling scheme based on weather types and conditional resampling, J. Geophys. Res, vol.111, p.23106, 2006. ,
Projected changes in components of the hydrological cycle in French river basins during the 21st century, Water Resour. Res, vol.45, p.8426, 2009. ,
Quantifying uncertainty sources in an ensemble of hydrological climate-impact projections, Water Resour. Res, vol.49, pp.1523-1536, 2013. ,
Hydrological validation of statistical downscaling methods applied to climate model projections, Hydro-climatology: Variability and Change, vol.344, pp.33-38, 2011. ,
Sources of uncertainty in projections of twenty-first century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models, Clim. Dynam, vol.43, pp.2093-2104, 2014. ,
Interdisciplinary approaches for analysing governance challenges across the Rhône basin, Reg. Environ. Change, vol.15, pp.499-503, 2015. ,
Probabilistic precipitation and temperature downscaling of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis over France, Clim. Past, vol.12, pp.635-662, 2016. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01320961
The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of stratospheric ozone over the 21st century, Atmos. Chem. Phys, vol.10, pp.9473-9486, 2010. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00482182
What will be the impacts of climate change on surface hydrology in France by 2070?, Houille Blanche, pp.48-67, 2012. ,
Framework for Understanding Structural Errors (FUSE): A modular framework to diagnose differences between hydrological models, Water Resour. Res, vol.44, pp.0-02, 2008. ,
Governing and managing water resources under changing hydro-climatic contexts: The case of the upper Rhone basin, Environ. Sci. Policy, vol.43, pp.56-67, 2014. ,
fitdistrplus: An R Package for Fitting Distributions, J. Stat. Softw, vol.64, pp.1-34, 2015. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02044954
Uncertainty in climate change projections: the role of internal variability, Climate Dynam, vol.38, pp.527-546, 2012. ,
Quantifying different sources of uncertainty in hydrological projections in an Alpine watershed, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci, vol.16, pp.4343-4360, 2012. ,
A catchment-based approach to modeling land surface processes in a general circulation model 2. Parameter estimation and model demonstration, J. Geophys. Res, vol.105, pp.24823-24838, 2000. ,
Impact of a climate change on the Rhone river catchment hydrology, J. Geophys. Res, vol.107, pp.6-7, 2002. ,
Projections of future water resources and their uncertainty in a glacierized catchment in the Swiss Alps and the subsequent effects on hydropower production during the 21st century, Water Resour. Res, vol.525, p.2521, 2012. ,
Overall rain-flow model for flood forecasting and pre-determination, vol.54, pp.88-95, 1999. ,
Multitemporal glacier inventory of the French Alps from the late 1960s to the late, Global Planet. Change, vol.120, pp.24-37, 2000. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/halsde-01022927
Large-basin hydrological response to climate model outputs: uncertainty caused by internal atmospheric variability, Hydrol. Earth. Syst. Sci, vol.19, pp.2737-2754, 2015. ,
Time of emergence (TOE) of GHG-forced precipitation change hot-spots, Geophys. Res. Lett, vol.36, p.6709, 2009. ,
Statistical reanalysis of precipitation fields based on ground network data and weather patterns: Application over French mountains, Effects of changes in winter snowpacks on summer low flows: case studies in the, vol.6, pp.154-167, 2012. ,
The application of probabilistic climate change projections: a comparison of methods of handling uncertainty applied to UK irrigation reservoir design, J. Water Clim. Chang, vol.5, pp.652-666, 2014. ,
Decomposition of the mean squared error and NSE performance criteria: Implications for improving hydrological modelling, J. Hydrol, vol.377, pp.90-91, 2009. ,
Impact of climate change on the hydrogeology of two basins in northern France, Clim. Change, vol.121, pp.771-785, 2013. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00913920
Climate change impact on available water resources obtained using multiple global climate and hydrology models, Earth Syst. Dynam, vol.4, pp.129-144, 2013. ,
The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc, vol.90, pp.1095-1107, 2009. ,
The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change, Clim. Dynam, vol.37, pp.407-418, 2011. ,
Time of emergence of climate signals, Geophys. Res. Lett, vol.39, p.1702, 2012. ,
Connecting climate model projections of global temperature change with the real world, B. Am. Meteor. Soc, vol.97, pp.963-980, 2016. ,
Impact of climate change on the hydrology of the Rhône catchment, Hydroécologie Appliquée, vol.13, pp.77-100, 2001. ,
Partitioning internal variability and model uncertainty components in a multimodel multireplicate ensemble of climate projections, J. Climate, vol.27, pp.6779-6798, 2014. ,
, RIWER2030. Climat Régionaux et Incertitudes, 2013.
Ensemble climate simulations using a fully coupled ocean-troposphere-stratosphere general circulation model, vol.365, pp.2089-2101, 2007. ,
Importance of maximum snow accumulation for summer low flows in humid catchments, Hydrol. Earth. Syst. Sci, vol.20, pp.859-874, 2016. ,
Climate change under aggressive mitigation: the ENSEM-BLES multi-model experiment, Clim. Dynam, vol.37, 1975. ,
The NCEP/NCAR 40-year Reanalysis Project, B. Am. Meteor. Soc, vol.77, pp.437-471, 1996. ,
Challenges in combining projections from multiple climate models, J. Climate, vol.23, pp.2739-2758, 2010. ,
Hierarchy of climate and hydrological uncertainties in transient low-flow projections ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01388009
lfstat: Calculation of Low Flow Statistics for daily stream flow data, 2014. ,
Robust estimates of climate-induced hydrological change in a temperate mountainous region, Clim. Change, vol.122, pp.171-184, 2014. ,
Quantifying the impact of land use changes on the water balance of large catchments using the J2000 model, Phys. Chem. Earth, vol.27, pp.663-673, 2002. ,
A dynamic global vegetation model for studies of the coupled atmosphere-biosphere system, Global Biogeochem. Cy, vol.19, p.1015, 2005. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00374606
A comparison of low flow regionalisation methods-catchment grouping, J. Hydrol, vol.323, pp.193-214, 2006. ,
Seasonality indices for regionalizing low flows, Hydrol. Process, vol.20, pp.3851-3878, 2006. ,
Prediction of low flows in ungauged basins, in: Runoff Prediction in Ungauged Basins -Synthesis across Processes, Places and Scales, vol.8, pp.163-188, 2013. ,
Influence of spatial discretization, underground water storage and glacier melt on a physically-based hydrological model of the Upper Durance River basin, J. Hydrol, vol.403, pp.116-129, 2011. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00648726
Internal variability and model uncertainty components in future hydrometeorological projections: The Alpine Durance basin, Water Resour. Res, vol.50, pp.3317-3341, 2014. ,
Atmospheric predictability as revealed by naturally occurring analogues, J. Atmos. Sci, vol.26, pp.636-646, 1969. ,
Introducing hysteresis in snow depletion curves to improve the water budget of a land surface model in an Alpine catchment, J. Hydrometeorol, vol.15, pp.631-649, 2014. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00927632
Parameter transferability under changing climate: case study with a land surface model in the Durance watershed, Hydrol. Sci. J, vol.60, pp.1408-1423, 2015. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01244903
Precipitation downscaling under climate change. Recent developments to bridge the gap between dynamical models and the end user, Rev. Geophys, vol.48, p.3003, 2010. ,
Key features of the IPSL ocean atmosphere model and its sensitivity to atmospheric resolution, Clim. Dynam, vol.34, pp.1-26, 2010. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00498320
A comparison of three methods for selecting values of input variables in the analysis of output from a computer code, Technometrics, vol.21, pp.239-245, 1979. ,
A combined downscalingdisaggregation weather generator for stochastic generation of multisite hourly weather variables over complex terrain: Development and multi-scale validation for the Upper Rhone River basin, J. Hydrol, vol.377, pp.245-260, 2009. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00448262
A conditioned Latin hypercube method for sampling in the presence of ancillary information, Comput. Geosci, vol.32, pp.1378-1388, 2006. ,
, La Loire à l'épreuve du changement climatique, vol.12, pp.79-87, 2010.
Climate change projections, UK climate projections science report, Special Report on Emissions Scenarios, vol.570, pp.8793-8808, 2000. ,
Quantitative precipitation forecasts: a statistical adaptation of model outputs through an analogues sorting approach, Atmos. Res, vol.63, pp.303-324, 2002. ,
The Case Studies, in: Modelling the impact of climate change on water resources, vol.6, pp.136-182, 2010. ,
Uncertainty contributions to low-flow projections in Austria, Hydrol. Earth. Syst. Sci, vol.20, pp.2085-2101, 2016. ,
Approximating uncertainty of annual runoff and reservoir yield using stochastic replicates of global climate model data, Hydrol, Development Core Team: R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing, R Foundation for Statistical Computing, vol.19, pp.66-76, 2011. ,
CO 2 -induced climate change in CMIP2 experiments: Quantification of agreement and role of internal variability, J. Climate, vol.14, pp.2088-2104, 2001. ,
Sensitivity of simulated climate to horizontal and vertical resolution in the ECHAM5 atmosphere model, J. Climate, vol.19, pp.3771-3791, 2006. ,
, Description and validation of the CNRM-CM3 global coupled model, CNRM Working Note 103, CNRM-GAME, 2005.
On the interpretation of constrained climate model ensembles, Geophys. Res. Lett, vol.39, p.16708, 2012. ,
Simple uncertainty frameworks for selecting weighting schemes and interpreting multi-model ensemble climate change experiments, J. Climate, vol.26, pp.4017-4037, 2013. ,
, Risk, 2014.
Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, vol.111, pp.3245-3250, 2014. ,
Climate change impacts on the hydrologic regime of a Canadian river: comparing uncertainties arising from climate natural variability and lumped hydrological model structures, Hydrol. Earth. Syst. Sci, vol.18, pp.2033-2047, 2014. ,
The importance of including variability in climate change projections used for adaptation, Nature Clim. Change, vol.5, pp.931-936, 2015. ,
Comparison of hydrological model structures based on recession and low flow simulations, Hydrol. Earth. Syst. Sci, vol.15, pp.3447-3459, 2011. ,
Hydrology under change: an evaluation protocol to investigate how hydrological models deal with changing catchments, Hydrol. Sci. J, vol.60, pp.1184-1199, 2015. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02052164
Hydrological drought types in cold climates: Quantitative analysis of causing factors and qualitative survey of impacts, ENSEMBLES: Climate Change and its Impacts: Summary of research and results from the ENSEMBLES project, vol.19, pp.1789-1800, 1993. ,
Multi-model climate impact assessment and intercomparison for three large-scale river basins on three continents, Earth Syst. Dynam, vol.6, pp.17-43, 2015. ,
A 50-year high-resolution atmospheric reanalysis over France with the Safran system, Int. J. Climatol, vol.30, pp.1627-1644, 2010. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/meteo-00420845
Evolution of spatio-temporal drought characteristics: validation, projections and effect of adaptation scenarios, Hydrol. Earth. Syst. Sci, vol.16, p.484, 1999. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00737853
Environmental flows in two highly regulated rivers: the Hawkesbury Nepean in Australia and the Durance in France, Water Environ. J, vol.28, pp.365-381, 2013. ,
Is 'Centre of Volume' a robust indicator of changes in snowmelt timing?, Hydrol. Process, vol.27, pp.2691-2698, 2013. ,
ggplot2: elegant graphics for data analysis, Use R!, 2009. ,
, WIREs Comput. Stat, vol.3, pp.180-185, 2011.
tidyr: Easily Tidy Data with spread and gather Functions, J. Stat. Softw, vol.59, pp.1-23, 2014. ,
Hierarchy of climate and hydrological uncertainties in transient low-flow projections ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01388009
dplyr: A Grammar of Data Manipulation, 2015. ,
Robust adaptation to climate change, Weather, vol.65, pp.180-185, 2010. ,
A framework for assessing uncertainties in climate change impacts: Low-flow scenarios for the River Thames, Operational Hydrology Report, vol.42, p.2419, 2006. ,
A simple, coherent framework for partitioning uncertainty in climate predictions, J. Climate, vol.24, pp.4634-4643, 2011. ,