Assessing Potential Casualties in Critical Events

Simona Cavallini (1) , Fabio Bisogni (1) , Marco Bardoscia (2) , Roberto Bellotti (3)

1 FORMIT Foundation
2 ICTP - Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics [Trieste]
3 UNIBA - Università degli studi di Bari Aldo Moro = University of Bari Aldo Moro

This paper describes an approach for assessing potential casualties due to events that adversely impact critical infrastructure sectors. The approach employs the consequence calculation model (CMM) to integrate quantitative data and qualitative information in evaluating the socio-economic impacts of sector failures. This is important because a critical event that affects social and economic activities may also cause injuries and fatalities. Upon engaging a structured method for gathering information about potential casualties, the consequence calculation model may be applied to failure trees constructed using various approaches. The analysis of failure trees enables decision makers to implement effective strategies for reducing casualties due to critical events.

Mots clés: Cascading effects; consequence calculation; casualties; failure trees

Domaines: Informatique [cs]

Simona Cavallini, Fabio Bisogni, Marco Bardoscia, Roberto Bellotti. Assessing Potential Casualties in Critical Events. 8th International Conference on Critical Infrastructure Protection (ICCIP), Mar 2014, Arlington, United States. pp.231-242, ⟨10.1007/978-3-662-45355-1_15⟩. ⟨hal-01386767⟩