Exploring a possible energy transition in Vietnam; Scenarios for the electricity sector and cost assessment of de‐carbonisation
Résumé
As an emerging country in Southeast Asia, Vietnam has been experiencing strong economic
growth over the past decades. Its rapid development is characterized by industrial and urban
transformations which translate into sustained demand for energy, and particularly electricity.
Electricity production grew 14,1% over 1990-2010, and per capita consumption jumped from 93
to 999 kWh/habitant.
These trends for electricity sector expansion are to be considered in a policy and regulatory
framework with strong State intervention. Public intervention is proactive for the upgrading of
the national capacity and the orientation of the electricity mix. The national electricity plan is
considering a tremendous expansion of the national electricity capacity by 2030. By that time,
the electricity capacity would be increased sevenfold (20.000 MW in 2010 upgraded to 146.800
MW in 2030), according to offcial sources. The seventh Masterplan envisages a mix where hydropower
accounts for 11.8%, energy storage hydropower 3.9%; coal thermal power 51.6%; and
gas fired power 11, 8%; power using renewable energy 9.4%; nuclear power 6.6% ; and imported
power 4.9%.
This is a considerable challenge in terms of investment, technology choice and prospects for
reconciling energy, environment and climate policies. In this context, our research mobilizes
economic analysis to investigate current trends with a view of characterizing a possible electricity
transition in Vietnam.
Domaines
Etudes de l'environnement
Origine : Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)