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A continuous time-and-state epidemic model fitted to ordinal categorical data observed on a lattice at discrete times

Abstract : We consider a spatio-temporal model to describe the spread of apple scab within an orchard composed of several plots. The model is defined on a regular lattice and evolves in continuous time. Based on ordinal categorical data observed only at some discrete instants, we adopt a continuous-time approach and apply a Bayesian framework for estimating unknown parameters.
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Rémi Crété, Besnik Pumo, Samuel Soubeyrand, Valerie Caffier, Frederique Didelot. A continuous time-and-state epidemic model fitted to ordinal categorical data observed on a lattice at discrete times. Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, Springer Verlag, 2013, 18 (4), ⟨10.1007/s13253-013-0138-x⟩. ⟨hal-01209899⟩

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