Impact of soil moisture-climate feedbacks on CMIP5 projections: First results from the GLACE-CMIP5 experiment

S.I. Seneviratne (1) , M. Wilhelm (1) , T. Stanelle (1) , B. van den Hurk (2) , S. Hagemann (3) , A. Berg (4, 5) , Frédérique Cheruy (6) , M.E. Higgins (7) , A. Meier (8) , V. Brovkin (3) , M. Claussen (3) , Agnès Ducharne (9) , Jean-Louis Dufresne (6) , K.L. Findell (4) , J. Ghattas (9) , D.M. Lawrence (7) , S. Malyshev (10) , M. Rummukainen (8) , B. Smith

1 IAC - Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science [Zürich]
2 KNMI - Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute
3 MPI-M - Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
4 GFDL - NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
5 RU - Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey [New Brunswick]
6 LMD - Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (UMR 8539)
7 NCAR - National Center for Atmospheric Research [Boulder]
8 CEC - Centre for Environmental and Climate Research [Lund]
9 SISYPHE - Structure et fonctionnement des systèmes hydriques continentaux
10 Princeton University

The Global Land-Atmosphere Climate Experiment-Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (GLACE-CMIP5) is a multimodel experiment investigating the impact of soil moisture-climate feedbacks in CMIP5 projections. We present here first GLACE-CMIP5 results based on five Earth System Models, focusing on impacts of projected changes in regional soil moisture dryness (mostly increases) on late 21st century climate. Projected soil moisture changes substantially impact climate in several regions in both boreal and austral summer. Strong and consistent effects are found on temperature, especially for extremes (about 1-1.5 K for mean temperature and 2-2.5 K for extreme daytime temperature). In the Northern Hemisphere, effects on mean and heavy precipitation are also found in most models, but the results are less consistent than for temperature. A direct scaling between soil moisture-induced changes in evaporative cooling and resulting changes in temperature mean and extremes is found in the simulations. In the Mediterranean region, the projected soil moisture changes affect about 25% of the projected changes in extreme temperature. Key Points GLACE-CMIP5 quantifies soil moisture feedbacks in climate projections Impacts on late 21st century temperature and precipitation mean and extremes Effects of about 25% for temperature extremes in Mediterranean region © 2013 The Authors. Geophysical Research Letters published by Wiley on behalf of the American Geophysical Union.

Domaines: Climatologie

S.I. Seneviratne, M. Wilhelm, T. Stanelle, B. van den Hurk, S. Hagemann, et al.. Impact of soil moisture-climate feedbacks on CMIP5 projections: First results from the GLACE-CMIP5 experiment. Geophysical Research Letters, 2013, 40 (19), pp.5212-5217. ⟨10.1002/grl.50956⟩. ⟨hal-01096295⟩