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Global carbon budgets simulated by the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model for the last century

Abstract : The paper examines terrestrial and oceanic carbon budgets from preindustrial time to present day in the version of Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model (BCC-CSM1.1) which is a global fully coupled climate-carbon cycle model. Atmospheric CO2 concentration is calculated from a prognostic equation taking into account global anthropogenic CO2 emissions and the interactive CO2 exchanges of land-atmosphere and ocean-atmosphere. When forced by prescribed historical emissions of CO 2 from combustion of fossil fuels and land use change, BCC-CSM1.1 can reproduce the trends of observed atmospheric CO2 concentration and global surface air temperature from 1850 to 2005. Simulated interannual variability and long-term trend of global carbon sources and sinks and their spatial patterns generally agree with other model estimates and observations, which shows the following: (1) Both land and ocean in the last century act as net carbon sinks. The ability of carbon uptake by land and ocean is enhanced at the end of last century. (2) Interannual variability of the global atmospheric CO2 concentration is closely correlated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation cycle, in agreement with observations. (3) Interannual variation of the land-to-atmosphere net carbon flux is positively correlated with surface air temperature while negatively correlated with soil moisture over low and midlatitudes. The relative contribution of soil moisture to the interannual variation of land-atmosphere CO2 exchange is more important than that of air temperature over tropical regions, while surface air temperature is more important than soil moisture over other regions of the globe. Key PointsTo evaluate BCC-CSM in reproducing the global carbon cycle from 1850 to 2005To quantify the interannual to long-term trend of carbon sources and sinksTo provide some discussions of BCC-CSM compared to other models ©2013. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
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Submitted on : Monday, December 8, 2014 - 3:03:19 PM
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T. Wu, W. Li, J. Ji, X. Xin, Laurent Li, et al.. Global carbon budgets simulated by the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model for the last century. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, American Geophysical Union, 2013, 118 (10), pp.4326-4347. ⟨10.1002/jgrd.50320⟩. ⟨hal-01092294⟩



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