A bootstrap approach to the pricing of weather derivatives

Abstract : This paper investigates price uncertainties in weather derivatives contracts through a bootstrap approach. Futures prices are computed under a periodic ARMA model in an actuarial framework for two different locations, Paris and Chicago. We show that statistical errors may lead to substantial uncertainties on futures prices with confidence intervals up to 10% of the assessed prices.
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https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00699544
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Submitted on : Monday, May 21, 2012 - 10:53:00 AM
Last modification on : Tuesday, October 23, 2018 - 2:36:04 PM

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  • HAL Id : hal-00699544, version 1

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Olivier Roustant, J.-P. Laurent, Xavier Bay, L. Carraro. A bootstrap approach to the pricing of weather derivatives. 35 eme colloque ASTIN, Jun 2003, Bergen, Norway. ⟨hal-00699544⟩

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