Abstract : Calculation of seismic risks in a zone are based on stochastic models describing at best the seismic activity. Our focus is the spatio-temporal evolution of the probability of earthquake occurrences. The main modelling tool is the theory of the point processes. We discuss about the spatio-temporal extension of ETAS (Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence) with marks and study the properties of the log-likelihood and the maximum likelihood estimators. Seismic data from the Lesser Antilles Arc carried out between 1999 and 2004 are analyzed.
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00601513
Contributeur : Larissa Valmy
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Soumis le : samedi 18 juin 2011 - 02:06:52
Dernière modification le : mercredi 18 juillet 2018 - 20:11:27
Larissa Valmy, Jean Vaillant. Statistical study of Caribbean seismic events. 2011 Annual meeting of the SSC, Jun 2011, Wolfville, Canada. pp.P. 134, 2011. 〈hal-00601513〉
