HAL will be down for maintenance from Friday, June 10 at 4pm through Monday, June 13 at 9am. More information
Skip to Main content Skip to Navigation
Journal articles

Projection of the daily travel of an ageing population: The Paris and Montreal case, 1975-2020

Abstract : Ageing of the population, urban sprawl and car dependency will change travel patterns. The main objective of this paper is to give elements for a better understanding of the impact of changing demographics on the long term evolution of daily mobility using demographic-based models to forecast, for the elderly population, car-ownership, trip frequency, distance traveled, average trip distance. A second objective is to measure the impact of the long term tendencies observed on the appearance of new needs of travel demand such as a rapid increase of demand-responsive transport. The paper compares two agglomerations, both in a strong ageing process, but in quite different sociocultural contexts: a large European metropolis: Paris, and a medium sized north-american city: Montreal. Many common conclusions derived from the two different cases studies reinforce the possibility of generalizing the conclusions to other situations.
Document type :
Journal articles
Complete list of metadata

Cited literature [17 references]  Display  Hide  Download

https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00559492
Contributor : Ifsttar Cadic Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Tuesday, January 25, 2011 - 4:44:33 PM
Last modification on : Monday, October 30, 2017 - 4:40:01 PM
Long-term archiving on: : Friday, December 2, 2016 - 1:53:36 PM

File

Projection_of_the_daily_travel...
Files produced by the author(s)

Identifiers

Citation

Virginie Dejoux, Yves Bussiere, Jean-Loup Madre, Jimmy Armoogum. Projection of the daily travel of an ageing population: The Paris and Montreal case, 1975-2020. Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis (Routledge), 2010, vol30 (n.4), pp 495-515. ⟨10.1080/01441640903166724⟩. ⟨hal-00559492⟩

Share

Metrics

Record views

119

Files downloads

219