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Journal articles
Chemistry-climate model simulations of spring Antarctic ozone
J. Austin
1, 2
H. Struthers
3
J. Scinocca
4
D. A. Plummer
4
H. Akiyoshi
5
A. Baumgaertner
6
Slimane Bekki
7
G. Bodeker
8
P. Braesicke
9
C. Bruhl
6
N. Butchart
10
M. P. Chipperfield
11
David Cugnet
7
M. Dameris
12
S. Dhomse
11
S. Frith
13, 14
H. Garny
12
A. Gettelman
15
S. C. Hardiman
10
P. Jockel
6
D. Kinnison
15
A. Kubin
16
J. F. Lamarque
15
U. Langematz
16
E. Mancini
17
Marion Marchand
7
M. Michou
18
Olaf Morgenstern
19
T. Nakamura
5
J. E. Nielsen
14, 13
G. Pitari
17
J. Pyle
9
E. Rozanov
20, 21
T. G. Shepherd
22
K. Shibata
23
Dan Smale
19
H. Teyssedre
18
Y. Yamashita
5
H. Teyssedre 18
Author
Y. Yamashita 5
Author
1
GFDL - NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (Princeton University, Forrestal Campus, 201 Forrestal Road, Princeton, NJ 08540-6649 - United States)
- NOAA - National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (1401 Constitution Avenue, NW Room 5128, Washington DC 20230 - United States)
2
UCAR - University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 - United States)
3
Stockholm University (Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden - Sweden)
4
CCCma - Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis (University of Victoria, Victoria - Canada)
- Environment and Climate Change Canada (Gatineau, Québec - Canada)
5
NIES - National Institute for Environmental Studies (Tsukuba, Ibaraki - Japan)
6
MPIC - Max Planck Institute for Chemistry (Hahn-Meitner-Weg 1, 55128 Mainz - Germany)
- Max-Planck-Gesellschaft (Jägerstrasse, 10-11, D-10117 Berlin - Germany)
7
STRATO - LATMOS (France)
- LATMOS - Laboratoire Atmosphères, Milieux, Observations Spatiales (11 boulevard d'Alembert
Quartier des Garennes
78280 - Guyancourt - France)
- CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique : UMR8190 (France)
- INSU - CNRS - Institut national des sciences de l'Univers : UMR8190 (INSU-CNRS 3 rue Michel-Ange, 75794 Paris Cedex 16 - France)
- UPMC - Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 : UMR8190 (4 place Jussieu - 75005 Paris - France)
- UVSQ - Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines : UMR8190 (55 avenue de Paris - 78035 Versailles cedex - France)
8
Bodeker Scientific (42 Russell Street, Alexandra 9320, Central Otago, New Zealand - New Zealand)
9
NCAS-Climate [Cambridge] (United Kingdom)
- Department of Chemistry [Cambridge, UK] (Lensfield Road, Cambridge, CB2 1EW - United Kingdom)
- CAM - University of Cambridge [UK] (The Old Schools, Trinity Lane, Cambridge CB2 1TN - United Kingdom)
10
United Kingdom Met Office [Exeter] (FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, UK - United Kingdom)
11
SEE - School of Earth and Environment [Leeds] (Maths/Earth and Environment Building, The University of Leeds, Leeds. LS2 9JT - United Kingdom)
- University of Leeds (Woodhouse Lane, Leeds LS2 9JT - United Kingdom)
12
IPA - DLR Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre (Oberpfaffenhofen-Wessling - Germany)
- DLR - Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt [Oberpfaffenhofen-Wessling] (Münchener Straße 20, 82234 Weßling - Germany)
13
GSFC - NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (Greenbelt, MD 20771 - United States)
14
SSAI - Science Systems and Applications, Inc. [Lanham] (10210 Greenbelt Road, Suite 600 Lanham, Maryland 20706 - United States)
15
NCAR - National Center for Atmospheric Research [Boulder] (3090 Center Green Drive, Boulder, CO 80301 - United States)
16
Institut für Meteorologie [Berlin] (Carl-Heinrich-Becker-Weg 6-10,
12165 Berlin - Germany)
- Freie Universität Berlin (Kaiserswerther Str. 16-18, 14195 Berlin - Germany)
17
UNIVAQ - University of L'Aquila [Italy] (UNIVERSITÀ DEGLI STUDI DE L'AQUILA / University of L'Aquila Via Giovanni Falcone 25, 67100 Coppito - Italy)
18
CNRM-GAME - Groupe d'étude de l'atmosphère météorologique (METEO FRANCE CNRM 42 Av Gaspard Coriolis 31057 TOULOUSE CEDEX 1 - France)
- INSU - CNRS - Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU-CNRS 3 rue Michel-Ange, 75794 Paris Cedex 16 - France)
- Météo France (France)
- CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique : URA1357 (France)
19
NIWA - National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research [Lauder] (Lauder, Central Otago, New Zealand - New Zealand)
20
PMOD/WRC - Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos/World Radiation Center (Dorfstrasse 33, CH-7260 Davos Dorf - Switzerland)
21
IAC - Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science [Zürich] (8092 Zürich - Switzerland)
- ETH Zürich - Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule - Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zürich [Zürich] (Hauptgebäude, Rämistrasse 101, 8092 Zürich - Switzerland)
22
Department of Physics [Toronto] ( 60 St. George St., Toronto, Ontario, M5S 1A7 - Canada)
- University of Toronto (27 King's College Circle, Toronto M5S 1A1 - Canada)
23
MRI - Meteorological Research Institute [Tsukuba] (1-1 Nagamine, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-0052, Japan - Japan)
- JMA - Japan Meteorological Agency (1-3-4 Otemachi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8122, Japan - Japan)
Abstract : Coupled chemistry-climate model simulations covering the recent past and continuing throughout the 21st century have been completed with a range of different models. Common forcings are used for the halogen amounts and greenhouse gas concentrations, as expected under the Montreal Protocol (with amendments) and Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change A1b Scenario. The simulations of the Antarctic ozone hole are compared using commonly used diagnostics: the minimum ozone, the maximum area of ozone below 220 DU, and the ozone mass deficit below 220 DU. Despite the fact that the processes responsible for ozone depletion are reasonably well understood, a wide range of results is obtained. Comparisons with observations indicate that one of the reasons for the model underprediction in ozone hole area is the tendency for models to underpredict, by up to 35%, the area of low temperatures responsible for polar stratospheric cloud formation. Models also typically have species gradients that are too weak at the edge of the polar vortex, suggesting that there is too much mixing of air across the vortex edge. Other models show a high bias in total column ozone which restricts the size of the ozone hole (defined by a 220 DU threshold). The results of those models which agree best with observations are examined in more detail. For several models the ozone hole does not disappear this century but a small ozone hole of up to three million square kilometers continues to occur in most springs even after 2070.
Keywords :
Antarctic ozone hole
Document type :
Journal articles
Complete list of metadatas
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00510726
Contributor : Catherine Cardon <>
Submitted on : Saturday, July 4, 2020 - 11:07:46 AM
Last modification on : Monday, July 6, 2020 - 12:03:40 PM
Long-term archiving on: : Thursday, September 24, 2020 - 9:33:39 AM
Contributor : Catherine Cardon <>
Submitted on : Saturday, July 4, 2020 - 11:07:46 AM
Last modification on : Monday, July 6, 2020 - 12:03:40 PM
Long-term archiving on: : Thursday, September 24, 2020 - 9:33:39 AM
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2009JD013577.pdf
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Identifiers
- HAL Id : hal-00510726, version 1
- DOI : 10.1029/2009JD013577
Collections
INSU | METEO | UPMC | CNRS | LATMOS | UVSQ | SORBONNE-UNIVERSITE | SU-SCIENCES
Citation
J. Austin, H. Struthers, J. Scinocca, D. A. Plummer, H. Akiyoshi, et al.. Chemistry-climate model simulations of spring Antarctic ozone. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, American Geophysical Union, 2010, 115, pp.D00M11. ⟨10.1029/2009JD013577⟩. ⟨hal-00510726⟩
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