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Application of S-Shaped Curves

Abstract : This paper deals with the application of S-shaped curves in the contexts of inventive problem solving, innovation and technology forecasts. After explaining the origin of the logistic S-curve its application, as seen in publications from different domains, is reviewed. Despite much criticism and the failure to apply the logistic function for long-term forecasting, it continues to be a popular model for describing the evolution of systems (technological, economical, social and others) over time. This paper can help researchers and practitioners to understand the scope of application of S-shaped patterns, their limitations, and peculiarities.
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https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00282758
Contributor : Dmitry Kucharavy Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Wednesday, May 28, 2008 - 11:50:01 AM
Last modification on : Monday, February 18, 2019 - 3:36:04 PM
Long-term archiving on: : Friday, May 28, 2010 - 8:27:13 PM

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TCF2007_DK_RDG.pdf
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  • HAL Id : hal-00282758, version 1
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Dmitry Kucharavy, Roland de Guio. Application of S-Shaped Curves. TRIZ-Future Conference 2007: Current Scientific and Industrial Reality, Nov 2007, Frankfurt, Germany. pp.81-88. ⟨hal-00282758⟩

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