Multi-factor jump-diffusion models of electricity prices

Abstract : The recent deregulation of electricity markets has led to the creation of energy exchanges, where the electricity is traded like any other commodity. In this paper, we study the most salient statistical features of electricity prices with a particular attention to the European energy exchanges. These features can be adequately reproduced by the sum-OU model: a model representing the price as a sum of Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes. We present a new method for filtering out the different OU components and develop a statistical procedure for estimating the sum-OU model from data.
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Submitted on : Wednesday, October 31, 2007 - 12:55:31 PM
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Thilo Meyer-Brandis, Peter Tankov. Multi-factor jump-diffusion models of electricity prices. 2007. ⟨hal-00184563⟩

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