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Do National Numerical Fiscal Rules Really Shape Fiscal Behaviours in Developing Countries? A Treatment Effect Evaluation
Tapsoba R.
http://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00667201
Do National Numerical Fiscal Rules Really Shape Fiscal Behaviours in Developing Countries? A Treatment Effect Evaluation
Rene Tapsoba 1
1 :  Centre d'études et de recherches sur le developpement international (CERDI)
http://www.cerdi.org
CNRS : UMR6587 – Université d'Auvergne - Clermont-Ferrand I
65 Bvd Francois Mitterrand - BP 320 63009 CLERMONT FERRAND CEDEX 1
France
Anglais

This paper analyses the effect of National Numerical Fiscal Rules (FRs) upon fiscal discipline in 74 developing countries over the period 1990-2007. It is the first study that assesses the impact of FRs on budgetary outcomes while controlling for the self-selection problem. It finds that the effect of FRs on structural fiscal balance is significantly positive, robust to a variety of alternative specifications, and varies with the type of FRs. It also finds that the treatment effect differs according to countries characteristics: number of FRs, time length since FRs adoption, presence of supranational FRs, government fractionalisation and government stability.

Preprint, Working Paper, Document sans référence, etc.
Sciences de l'Homme et Société/Economie et finances

Fiscal rules – Fiscal discipline – Treatment effect – Propensity Scores-Matching – developing countries
H - Public Economics/H1 - Structure and Scope of Government/H11 - Structure – Scope – and Performance of Government
H - Public Economics/H6 - National Budget – Deficit – and Debt/H61 - Budget – Budget Systems
H - Public Economics/H6 - National Budget – and Debt/H62 - Deficit – Surplus
2012.04

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