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Multivariate Portmanteau test for Autoregressive models with uncorrelated but nonindependent errors
Francq C., Raissi H.
Journal of Time Series Analysis 28 (2007) 454-470 - http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00517078
Article in peer-reviewed journal
Statistics/Methodology
Statistics/Applications
Multivariate Portmanteau test for Autoregressive models with uncorrelated but nonindependent errors
Christian Francq () 1, Hamdi Raissi () 2
1:  ECONOMIE QUANTITATIVE, INTEGRATION, POLITIQUES PUBLIQUES ET ECONOMETRIE (EQUIPPE)
http://equippe.eu/
Université Lille III - Sciences humaines et sociales
Université Charles-De-Gaulle, Lille 3, Maison de la Recherche, domaine universitaire du Pont de Bois, BP 60149, 59653 Villeneuve d'Ascq cedex
France
2:  Institut de Recherche Mathématique de Rennes (IRMAR)
http://irmar.univ-rennes1.fr/
CNRS : UMR6625 – Université de Rennes 1 – École normale supérieure de Cachan - ENS Cachan – Institut National des Sciences Appliquées (INSA) : - RENNES – Université de Rennes II - Haute Bretagne
France
In this paper we consider estimation and test of fit for multiple autoregressive time series models with nonindependent innovations. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the residual autocorrelations. It is shown that this asymptotic distribution can be quite different for models with iid innovations and models in which the innovations exhibit conditional heteroscedasticity or other forms of dependence. Consequently, the usual chi-square distribution does not provide adequate approximation to the distribution of the Box-Pierce goodness-of-fit portmanteau test in the presence of nonindependent innovations. We then propose a method to adjust the critical values of the portmanteau tests. Monte Carlo experiments illustrate the finite sample performance of the modified portmanteau test.
English
2005-07-01

Journal of Time Series Analysis
Publisher Wiley-Blackwell
ISSN 0143-9782 (eISSN : 1467-9892)
international
2007-06-01
28
454-470

Vector weak AR model – Goodness-of-fit test – Residual autocorrelation – Diagnostic Checking – Box-Pierce and Ljung-Box portmanteau tests.

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