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Forgetting of the initial distribution for non-ergodic Hidden Markov Chains
Elisabeth Gassiat 1, Benoit Landelle 1, Eric Moulines 2
(2008-10-11)

In this paper, the forgetting of the initial distribution for a non-ergodic Hidden Markov Models (HMM) is studied. A new set of conditions is proposed to establish the forgetting property of the filter, which significantly extends all the existing results. Both a pathwise-type convergence of the total variation distance of the filter started from two different initial distributions, and a convergence in expectation are considered. The results are illustrated using generic models of non-ergodic HMM and extend all the results known so far.
1:  Laboratoire de Mathématiques d'Orsay (LM-Orsay)
CNRS : UMR8628 – Université Paris XI - Paris Sud
2:  Laboratoire Traitement et Communication de l'Information [Paris] (LTCI)
Télécom ParisTech – CNRS : UMR5141
Mathematics/Probability

Mathematics/Statistics
Non-linear filtering – forgetting of the initial distribution – non-ergodic Hidden Markov Chains – Feynman-Kac semigroup
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