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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C 59, 5 (2010) 889-904
Simultaneous confidence bands in curve prediction applied to load curves
Jean-Marc Azaïs 1, Sophie Bercu 2, Jean-Claude Fort 1, Agnes Lagnoux-Renaudie 1, Pierre Lé 2
(2010)

Considering the problem of predicting the whole annual load curve of some Electricité de France (EDF) customers from easily available explanatory variables, we derived simultaneous confidence bands for this prediction. The methodology developed, that can be applied to numerous problems, uses results on the maximum of Gaussian sequences. The paper ends with the applicatiuion to EDF's problem.
1:  Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse (IMT)
Université Paul Sabatier [UPS] - Toulouse III – Université Toulouse le Mirail - Toulouse II – Université des Sciences Sociales - Toulouse I – Institut National des Sciences Appliquées (INSA) - Toulouse – CNRS : UMR5219
2:  EDF R&D
EDF
IMT
Mathematics/Statistics

Statistics/Statistics Theory
Gaussian vectors – maximum of Gaussian sequences – simultaneous confidence bands – thresholding – load curve
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