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A stochastic model of passenger generalized time along a transit line
Leurent F., Benezech V., Combes F.
http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00718646
Preprint, Working Paper, ...
Computer Science/Modeling and Simulation
A stochastic model of passenger generalized time along a transit line
Fabien Leurent (, http://www.lvmt.fr/) 1, Vincent Benezech () 1, François Combes () 1
1:  Laboratoire Ville, Mobilité, Transport (LVMT)
http://www.lvmt.fr/
Université Paris-Est Marne-la-Vallée (UPEMLV) – Ecole des Ponts ParisTech – IFSTTAR UMR-T9404
Ecole des Ponts ParisTech, Cité Descartes, 6 et 8 avenue Blaise Pascal, 77454 Marne-la-Vallée cedex 2
France
Along a transit line, vehicle traffic and passenger traffic are jointly subject to variability in travel time and vehicle load hence crowding. The paper provides a stochastic model of passenger physical time and generalized time, including waiting on platform and in-vehicle run time from access to egress station. Five sources of variability are addressed: (i) vehicle headway which can vary between the stations provided that each service run maintains its rank throughout the local distributions of headways; (ii) vehicle order in the schedule of operations; (iii) vehicle capacity; (iv) passenger arrival time; (v) passenger sensitivity to quality of service. The perspective of the operator, which pertains to vehicle runs, is distinguished from the user's one at the disaggregate level of the individual trip, as in survival theory. Analytical properties are established that link the distributions of vehicle headways, vehicle run times, passenger wait times, passenger travel times, and their counterparts in generalized time, in terms of distribution functions, mean, variance and covariance. Many of them stem from Gaussian and log-normal approximations.
English
2012-06-15

Vehicle load – Headway rank – Passenger exposure – Wait time – Run time – Journey time
14 pages

Chaire Socio-économie et modélisation des transports urbains de voyageurs, Ecole des Ponts ParisTech en partenariat avec le Syndicat des Transports d'Ile de France

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