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An attempt at reading Keynes' Treatise on Probability
Robert C.
International Statistical Review 79, 1 (2011) 1-15 - http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00473018
Article in peer-reviewed journal
Mathematics/Statistics
Statistics/Statistics Theory
Mathematics/History and Overview
An attempt at reading Keynes' Treatise on Probability
Christian Robert (, http://www.ceremade.dauphine.fr/~xian) 1, 2
1:  CEntre de REcherches en MAthématiques de la DEcision (CEREMADE)
http://www.ceremade.dauphine.fr/index.html
CNRS : UMR7534 – Université Paris IX - Paris Dauphine
Place du Maréchal de Lattre de Tassigny 75775 - Paris Cedex 16
France
2:  Centre de Recherche en Économie et Statistique (CREST)
http://www.crest.fr/
INSEE – École Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Administration Économique
France
The book A Treatise on Probability was published by John Maynard Keynes in 1921. It contains a critical assessment of the foundations of probability and of the current statistical methodology. As a modern reader, we review here the aspects that are most related with statistics, avoiding a neophyte's perspective on the philosophical issues. In particular, the book is quite critical of the Bayesian approach and we examine the arguments provided by Keynes, as well as the alternative he proposes. This review does not subsume the scholarly study of Aldrich (2008a) relating Keynes with the statistics community of the time.
English
2010-04-06

International Statistical Review
Publisher Wiley-Blackwell
ISSN 0306-7734 
international
2011-04
79
1
1-15

13 pages

Fulltext link: 
http://fr.arXiv.org/abs/1003.5544