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Study of overland flow with uncertain infiltration using stochastic tools
Rousseau M., Cerdan O., Ern A., Le Maitre O., Sochala P.
Research report - http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00612949
Research report
Computer Science/Modeling and Simulation
Study of overland flow with uncertain infiltration using stochastic tools
Marie Rousseau () 1, Olivier Cerdan () 2, Alexandre Ern 1, Olivier Le Maitre () 3, Pierre Sochala () 2
1:  Centre d'Enseignement et de Recherche en Mathématiques et Calcul Scientifique (CERMICS)
http://cermics.enpc.fr/
Ecole des Ponts ParisTech
6 et 8 avenue Blaise Pascal Cité Descartes - Champs sur Marne 77455 Marne la Vallée Cedex 2
France
2:  Bureau de recherches géologiques et minières (BRGM)
http://www.brgm.fr/
Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières (BRGM)
France
3:  Laboratoire d'Informatique pour la Mécanique et les Sciences de l'Ingénieur [Orsay] (LIMSI)
http://www.limsi.fr/
CNRS : UPR3251 – Université Pierre et Marie Curie [UPMC] - Paris VI – Université Paris XI - Paris Sud
Université Paris Sud (Paris XI) Bât. 508 BP 133 91403 ORSAY CEDEX
France
The saturated hydraulic conductivity is one of the key parameters in the modelling of overland flow water fluxes. In this study, this parameter is defined as a stochastic parameter, idealized as a piecewise constant random field with uniform distribution. This paper aims at investigating the effects of the spatial and temporal scales in uncertainty propagation within overland flow models, and at identifying the localization of the most influential saturated hydraulic conductivity using sensitivity analysis. The results show that the influence of saturated hydraulic conductivity depends on the soil saturation and its spatial localization. For instance, in case of low saturated soils, the most influent parameter is the one located downslope, whereas in case of high saturated soils, the most influent one is either the most infiltrating or the intermediate one. The results indicate where efforts should be concentrate when collecting input parameters to reduce modelling uncertainties.
English
2011-08-01

overland flow – infiltration – saturated hydraulic conductivity – Monte Carlo sampling – stochastic model – sensitivity analysis

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